DFL-Supercup | DFL Supercup
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern3 - 2Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 52.58% | 21.09% | 26.33% |
| Both teams to score 66.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
