Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
