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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
67.49% | 18.14% | 14.38% |
Both teams to score 56.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.41% | 35.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.36% | 57.65% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.31% | 9.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.68% | 32.32% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.63% | 37.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% | 74.16% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.46% 3-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 7.55% 4-0 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 2.06% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.29% Total : 67.49% | 1-1 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.14% | 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-1 @ 3.57% 0-2 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.57% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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