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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
18.79% | 20.09% | 61.12% |
Both teams to score 59.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% | 36.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% | 58.49% |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% | 32.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.77% | 69.23% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.48% | 11.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.58% | 36.42% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.09% 1-0 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.19% Total : 18.79% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 7.08% 0-3 @ 6.33% 2-3 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 3.83% 0-4 @ 3.42% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.65% 0-5 @ 1.48% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.54% Total : 61.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |