Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.