Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.