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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Werder Bremen logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

Last Six:
    Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 Wolfsburg
    Saturday, July 30 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

    Werder Bremen

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-2 Werder Bremen
      Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Werder Bremen

       We do not expect to see a classic between these sides on Saturday, with Wolfsburg settling into life under a new manager and Werder re-establishing themselves at this level. As such, a share of the spoils feels likely, with both managers potentially content to stay unbeaten ahead of a long campaign. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

      Result
      WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
      33.44% (-0.359 -0.36) 23.68% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 42.88% (0.294 0.29)
      Both teams to score 61.9% (-0.349 -0.35)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      60.01% (-0.403 -0.4)39.99% (0.398 0.4)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      37.65% (-0.418 -0.42)62.35% (0.413 0.41)
      Wolfsburg Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      76.4% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)23.6% (0.387 0.39)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      42.32% (-0.566 -0.57)57.67% (0.56 0.56)
      Werder Bremen Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)18.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      49.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)50.51% (0.061 0.06)
      Score Analysis
          Wolfsburg 33.44%
          Werder Bremen 42.88%
          Draw 23.67%
      WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
      2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
      1-0 @ 6.47% (0.045 0.04)
      2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
      3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
      3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
      3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
      4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
      4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
      Other @ 3%
      Total : 33.44%
      		1-1 @ 10.74% (0.06 0.06)
      2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
      0-0 @ 4.48% (0.083 0.08)
      3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
      Other @ 0.29%
      Total : 23.67%
      		1-2 @ 8.93% (0.042 0.04)
      0-1 @ 7.44% (0.128 0.13)
      0-2 @ 6.19% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
      1-3 @ 4.95% (0.017 0.02)
      2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
      0-3 @ 3.43% (0.051 0.05)
      1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
      0-4 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
      Other @ 3.41%
      Total : 42.88%

      How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen

      Wolfsburg
      81.8%
      Draw
      18.2%
      Werder Bremen
      0.0%
      33
      Head to Head
      Mar 20, 2021 2.30pm
      Werder Bremen
      1-2
      Wolfsburg
      Mohwald (45')
      Sargent (57'), Fullkrug (90+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')
      Sargent (9' og.), Weghorst (42')
      Schlager (81')
      Nov 27, 2020 7.30pm
      Wolfsburg
      5-3
      Werder Bremen
      Baku (22'), Brooks (25'), Weghorst (37', 76'), Bialek (90+5')
      Lacroix (73'), Arnold (81')
      Bittencourt (13'), Mohwald (36'), Brooks (47' og.)
      Mbom (24'), Mohwald (57')
      Mohwald (80')
      Jun 7, 2020 12.30pm
      Werder Bremen
      0-1
      Wolfsburg

      Klaassen (45'), Sargent (49'), Bittencourt (80')
      Weghorst (82')
      Schlager (54'), Pongracic (58'), Mbabu (67')
      Dec 1, 2019 5pm
      Wolfsburg
      2-3
      Werder Bremen
      Weghorst (36'), William (73'), Rashica (83')
      Arnold (91')
      Rashica (13' pen.), Bittencourt (39')
      Gross (60'), Osako (68'), Rashica (81'), Veljkovic (95')
      Mar 3, 2019 5pm
      Wolfsburg
      1-1
      Werder Bremen
      Anthony Brooks (54')
      Kruse (74')
      Eggestein (66'), Augustinsson (80')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
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      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
      2RB Leipzig106311551021
      3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
      4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
      5Freiburg105231311217
      6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
      7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
      8Werder Bremen104331721-415
      9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
      10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
      11Stuttgart103431919013
      12Wolfsburg103341918112
      13Augsburg103341320-712
      14Heidenheim103161315-210
      15Hoffenheim102351319-69
      16St Pauli10226712-58
      17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
      18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
      > Bundesliga Full Table


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