Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Augsburg	3	-4	3
11	RB Leipzig	3	-1	2
12	Stuttgart	3	-1	2

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Schalke 04	3	-2	2
14	Wolfsburg	3	-2	2
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	-5	2

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side. Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Wolfsburg
64.85% ( 0.53)	19.4% ( -0.13)	15.74% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27% (

-0.2)

38.73% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

-0.21)

61.04% (

0.2)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.76% (

0.08)

11.23% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.2% (

0.18)

35.79% (

-0.18)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.41% (

-0.62)

37.59% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.63% (

-0.61)

74.37% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 64.85%

Wolfsburg 15.74%

Draw 19.4%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.23% Total : 64.85%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.4%	1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.74%