Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Jan 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lacroix (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

It is difficult to see past a comfortable home win on Sunday, with Leipzig on the up in recent weeks and the visitors in such dreadful form, and their confidence at rock bottom as a result. The majority of Leipzig's slip-ups this season have been on their travels, so despite a poor start to the campaign, they have remained strong at home for the large part. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Wolfsburg
70.76%	17.11%	12.14%

Both teams to score 53.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.81%

36.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.69%

58.31%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.91%

9.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.11%

30.89%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93%

41.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38%

77.62%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 70.75%

Wolfsburg 12.14%

Draw 17.11%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.4% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.51% Total : 70.75%	1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.25% 0-0 @ 3.73% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.11%	1-2 @ 3.55% 0-1 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.14%