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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for VfL Bochum in this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Wolfsburg |
39.72% | 25.47% | 34.81% |
Both teams to score 55.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52% | 48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.83% | 70.17% |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% | 23.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% | 58.09% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% | 26.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% | 61.83% |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Wolfsburg |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |