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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Union Berlin logo

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Union Berlin


Onisiwo (5')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Union Berlin

Both sides have considerably punched above their weight in recent times, and we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. It could be an interesting tactical battle with both managers lining their sides up in similar formations and preferring to counter rather than control, with the visitors perhaps having the edge in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawUnion Berlin
35.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.75%38.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.66% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (0.004999999999999 0)74.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.16%
    Union Berlin 38.08%
    Draw 26.74%
Mainz 05DrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.08%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

Mainz 05
46.5%
Draw
25.6%
Union Berlin
27.9%
86
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
3-1
Mainz 05
Haraguchi (8'), Becker (56'), Awoniyi (75')
Trimmel (42'), Jaeckel (67'), Baumgartl (90+2'), Khedira (90+2')
Burgzorg (90')
Svensson (12'), Hack (18'), Kohr (58'), Stoger (90+2')
Kohr (60')
Oct 3, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-2
Union Berlin
Ingvartsen (39')
Kohr (75')
Kohr (90+2')
Awoniyi (69', 73')
Haraguchi (45+2'), Knoche (65'), Promel (79'), Kruse (82')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
Union Berlin
Niakhate (22' pen.)
Kohr (28'), Barreiro (40')

Schlotterbeck (21'), Teuchert (33'), Knoche (60'), Trimmel (67')
Schlotterbeck (55')
Oct 2, 2020 7.30pm
Union Berlin
4-0
Mainz 05
Kruse (13'), Ingvartsen (49'), Friedrich (63'), Pohjanpalo (64')
Trimmel (33')

Mateta (53'), Latza (59'), Boetius (67'), St Juste (78')
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Mainz 05
Ingvartsen (33')
Andrich (20'), Schlotterbeck (78'), Friedrich (90+2')
Andrich (42')
Baku (13')
Boetius (78'), Latza (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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