MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:32:45| >> :60:346:346:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 1, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
Stadion an der Gellertstrasse
Union Berlin logo

Chemnitzer
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Muller (62')
Walther (102')
FT
(aet)
Siebatcheu (64'), Behrens (114')
Schafer (111')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's DFB-Pokal clash between Chemnitzer and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Chemnitzer 2-2 Hoffenheim (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, September 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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We say: Chemnitzer 0-2 Union Berlin

We expect Chemnitzer to give their Bundesliga opponents a tough encounter in both sides' first competitive games of the season. The visitors should ultimately have a little too much nous and quality, though, as they look to build on last season's remarkable league finish by juggling three competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Chemnitzer win it was 1-0 (5.68%).

Result
ChemnitzerDrawUnion Berlin
21.42% (2.794 2.79) 22.52% (1.742 1.74) 56.06% (-4.538 -4.54)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-1.295 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (-3.924 -3.92)43.82% (3.922 3.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-3.951 -3.95)66.2% (3.949 3.95)
Chemnitzer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.55 0.55)34.4% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.584 0.58)71.11% (-0.586 -0.59)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-2.707 -2.71)15.46% (2.705 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (-5.301 -5.3)44.32% (5.298 5.3)
Score Analysis
    Chemnitzer 21.42%
    Union Berlin 56.06%
    Draw 22.51%
ChemnitzerDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.989 0.99)
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.565 0.57)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.234 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 21.42%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.939 0.94)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.86 0.86)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.748 0.75)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.15% (-0.666 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.721 -0.72)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.639 -0.64)
0-4 @ 2.69% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.37 -0.37)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.06%

How you voted: Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin

Chemnitzer
19.4%
Draw
6.5%
Union Berlin
74.2%
31
rhs 2.0
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