Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 4
Union Berlin

Holer (59')
Sallai (67')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Promel (11'), Trimmel (30'), Becker (41'), Schafer (90')
Oczipka (50'), Luthe (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin

With both of these sides in strong form in recent weeks, it looks like it will be an even contest on Saturday, with it potentially yielding plenty of goals. The raucous atmosphere at the Europa-Park Stadion is likely to play its part though, and with Union noticeably different on their travels despite recent away results, we are predicting a home win here.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 27.64% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline is Freiburg 1-1 Union Berlin with a probability of 11.19% and the second most likely scoreline is Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin with a probability of 9.49%.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
48.44%	23.92%	27.64%

Both teams to score 57.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92%

44.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53%

66.47%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68%

18.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58%

49.42%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64%

29.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65%

65.35%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 48.44%

Union Berlin 27.64%

Draw 23.92%

Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.44%	1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 6.86% 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.33% Total : 27.64%