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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Bayern logo

Freiburg
1 - 4
Bayern

Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Bayern Munich

Although Freiburg and Bayern currently boast the best two defensive records this season, they have both looked vulnerable at the back in recent weeks, which will give their respective attacks confidence of finding the net on Saturday. The visitors are understandably the favourites for this fixture, but we feel that a closely-fought contest is set to be played out, and Streich's men may do enough to claim a hard-fought point in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
14.52%17.07%68.41%
Both teams to score 61.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16%29.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49%51%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61%33.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98%70.01%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02%7.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.84%28.16%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 14.52%
    Bayern Munich 68.41%
    Draw 17.07%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.05%
1-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.87%
2-0 @ 1.6%
3-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 14.52%
1-1 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 2.66%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.07%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 8.52%
1-3 @ 7.88%
0-3 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-4 @ 4.98%
0-4 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 4.32%
2-4 @ 2.73%
1-5 @ 2.52%
0-5 @ 2.3%
2-5 @ 1.38%
1-6 @ 1.06%
3-4 @ 1%
0-6 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 68.41%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern

Freiburg
13.3%
Draw
16.0%
Bayern Munich
70.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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