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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Bayern logo

Freiburg
1 - 4
Bayern

Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Bayern Munich

 Although Freiburg and Bayern currently boast the best two defensive records this season, they have both looked vulnerable at the back in recent weeks, which will give their respective attacks confidence of finding the net on Saturday. The visitors are understandably the favourites for this fixture, but we feel that a closely-fought contest is set to be played out, and Streich's men may do enough to claim a hard-fought point in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
14.52%17.07%68.41%
Both teams to score 61.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16%29.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49%51%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61%33.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98%70.01%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.02%7.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.84%28.16%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 14.52%
    Bayern Munich 68.41%
    Draw 17.07%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.05%
1-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.87%
2-0 @ 1.6%
3-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 14.52%
1-1 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 2.66%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.07%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 8.52%
1-3 @ 7.88%
0-3 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-4 @ 4.98%
0-4 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 4.32%
2-4 @ 2.73%
1-5 @ 2.52%
0-5 @ 2.3%
2-5 @ 1.38%
1-6 @ 1.06%
3-4 @ 1%
0-6 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 68.41%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern

Freiburg
13.3%
Draw
16.0%
Bayern Munich
70.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Lewandowski (7'), Muller (74')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (90')
Petersen (62')
Hofler (9'), Sallai (46')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Freiburg
Dec 18, 2019 7.30pm
Freiburg
1-3
Bayern
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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