Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 1
Greuther Furth

Lewandowski (46', 82'), Griesbeck (61' og.), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+1')
Lewandowski (45'), Kimmich (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hrgota (42')
Bauer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Greuther Furth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Greuther Furth

Despite Bayern suffering a couple of shock setbacks over the past week, it would be one of the biggest Bundesliga shocks in history were they to come away from the Allianz Arena without the three points on Sunday. For all of Greuther's excellent results of late, on their travels they desperately struggle, so all of the signs are pointing towards a comfortable Bayern win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 93.35%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 1.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 4-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.29%) and 5-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Greuther Furth
93.35%	4.86%	1.79%

Both teams to score 41.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.51%

16.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

67.02%

32.98%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.24%

1.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

91.11%

8.89%

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.97%

58.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.39%

89.61%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 93.34%

Greuther Furth 1.79%

Draw 4.86%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Greuther Furth
4-0 @ 11.43% 3-0 @ 11.29% 5-0 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.37% 6-0 @ 6.25% 4-1 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 6.15% 5-1 @ 5.04% 2-1 @ 4.56% 1-0 @ 4.14% 7-0 @ 3.61% 6-1 @ 3.4% 7-1 @ 1.97% 8-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 1.37% 8-1 @ 1% 6-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.17% Total : 93.34%	1-1 @ 2.25% 2-2 @ 1.24% 0-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.35% Total : 4.86%	Other @ 1.79% Total : 1.79%