MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:56:02| >> :60:82:82:
Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

Salzburg
1 - 1
Bayern

Adamu (21')
Kohn (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coman (90')
Coman (83'), Sabitzer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-3 Bayern Munich

While Bayern Munich will understandably be the strong favourites to win on Wednesday, Salzburg are likely to have their moments on home soil and they will be confident of getting their name on the scoresheet against a Bayern side who have conceded in four of their last five matches. However, the prolific form of star man Lewandowski should be enough to help the visitors secure a healthy first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 39.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.25%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawBayern Munich
39.95%19.77%40.29%
Both teams to score 78.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.95%19.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.27%36.74%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62%11.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.88%36.12%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.72%11.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.11%35.9%
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 39.95%
    Bayern Munich 40.29%
    Draw 19.77%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.62%
3-2 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 4.79%
2-0 @ 3.03%
4-2 @ 2.84%
1-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-3 @ 2.07%
5-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.19%
5-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 39.95%
2-2 @ 7.22%
1-1 @ 6.09%
3-3 @ 3.8%
0-0 @ 1.28%
4-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.77%
1-2 @ 6.64%
2-3 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 3.06%
2-4 @ 2.86%
0-1 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.22%
3-4 @ 2.08%
2-5 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.15%
3-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 40.29%

How you voted: Salzburg vs Bayern

Red Bull Salzburg
10.6%
Draw
7.3%
Bayern Munich
82.1%
330
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
3-1
Salzburg
Lewandowski (42'), Wober (52' og.), Sane (68')
Neuer (24'), Roca (48')
Roca (66')
Berisha (73')
Koita (58'), Camara (90+5')
Nov 3, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Salzburg
2-6
Bayern
Berisha (4'), Okugawa (66')
Camara (53'), Mwepu (85')
Lewandowski (21' pen., 88'), Nissen (44' og.), Boateng (79'), Sane (83'), Hernandez (90+2')
Pavard (23'), Gnabry (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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