Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 8, 2021 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 0
Sevilla

Okafor (50')
Onguene (37'), Ulmer (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Augustinsson (18'), Jordan (56'), Ocampos (81')
Jordan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 Sevilla

It is remarkable to see this incredibly youthful Salzburg side in with a shot of making the last-16, but Sevilla's greater experience in high-pressure situations such as this could prove invaluable. The visitors are dealing with some major injury blows in attack and have developed an affinity for Champions League stalemates on the road, but the defensive nous of Diego Carlos and Jules Kounde should help them march on to the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Sevilla
47.03%	25.15%	27.82%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69%

49.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64%

71.36%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01%

20.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.25%

53.75%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05%

31.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6%

68.4%

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 47.03%

Sevilla 27.82%

Draw 25.14%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.03%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.82%