Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Greuther Furth2 - 1Mainz 05
We said: Greuther Furth 0-1 Mainz 05
Mainz should put their cup woes behind them and pick up where they left off in their stunning league campaign here. The home side have stopped the rot in the last few weeks but continue to struggle in front of goal - having netted just 15 times this season - and we expect them to suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 34.11% | 26.23% | 39.66% |
| Both teams to score 53.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
