Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 4, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
7 - 1
Greuther Furth

Adli (12'), Tapsoba (17'), Hincapie (45'), Schick (49', 69', 74', 76')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Dudziak (33')
Leweling (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Greuther Furth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Greuther Furth

It is difficult to see past a comfortable home win at the BayArena on Saturday, with all signs pointing towards a wide goal margin between the two sides. Leverkusen are on the up and are playing towards their high standards set at the start of the campaign, whilst Greuther are lacking the quality to compete against most sides in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 70.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 12.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Greuther Furth
70.29%	16.98%	12.73%

Both teams to score 56.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.07%

33.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.21%

55.78%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.38%

8.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.25%

29.74%

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38%

38.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64%

75.36%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 70.29%

Greuther Furth 12.73%

Draw 16.98%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Greuther Furth
2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.17% 1-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 5.01% 4-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.7% 5-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 2.27% 5-2 @ 1.11% 6-0 @ 1% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 70.29%	1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.53% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.98%	1-2 @ 3.69% 0-1 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.73%