Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Greuther Furth
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Hrgota (1', 71' pen.)
Itter (34'), Dudziak (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gechter (82')
Stark (22'), Belfodil (29'), Jovetic (76'), Tousart (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Greuther Furth 2-2 Hertha Berlin

Goals are to be expected on Saturday as the two teams with the worst defensive records in this season's Bundesliga, conceding 99 goals between them, lock horns in Bavaria. Hertha came out on top the last time that they faced Furth, but they may have to settle for just a point on this occasion in a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.

Result
Greuther Furth	Draw	Hertha Berlin
40.07%	26.04%	33.89%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38%

50.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47%

72.53%

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.49%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82%

64.18%

Score Analysis

Greuther Furth 40.07%

Hertha Berlin 33.89%

Draw 26.03%

Greuther Furth	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.89%