Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Hertha Berlin3 - 2Dortmund
We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Although Dortmund are still not playing at their best, the importance of heading into the break on the back of a win should prove enough to see them put in a display worthy of coming out victorious at the Olympiastadion on Saturday. Their goalscoring touch is back following the return of Haaland in recent matches, and with Hertha's leaky defence continuing to shake, Dortmund will see an opportunity to outscore their opponents despite their questionable defence themselves. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 21.78% | 21.57% | 56.65% |
| Both teams to score 59.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
