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Hertha Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Dortmund logo

Hertha Berlin
3 - 2
Dortmund

Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')

Preview: Hertha Berlin vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Borussia Dortmund will be hoping to cut the gap at the top of the Bundesliga table when they visit Hertha Berlin on Saturday.

The hosts remain near the foot of the table following a thumping defeat in midweek, whilst the visitors returned to winning ways to stay within six points of Bayern Munich at the summit.


Match preview

Hertha Berlin's Niklas Stark pictured on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Tayfun Korkut tasted his first defeat as the new boss of Hertha when his side were comprehensively beaten 4-0 by high-flying Mainz 05 on Tuesday evening.

The Old Lady were never in the contest and could easily have been beaten by a wider margin had their hosts been even more clinical in front of goal, in what was a thoroughly disappointing display.

That loss had followed a bright start to the Turkish manager's time in charge, where Hertha had come from two goals down to draw 2-2 at Stuttgart in his first game at the helm, before coming out victorious at home to Arminia Bielefeld by a 2-0 scoreline following an excellent performance last weekend.

Therefore, the past week has been yet another case of one step forward and two steps back for the capital side, who have struggled for consistency not just this season, but for the last few years, during their failed attempts to break back into the top half of the Bundesliga and towards the European spots.

As a result, Hertha head into the final matchday before the winter break in 14th place at the time of writing, with just a single point between themselves and Augsburg in the relegation playoff spot.

Despite the tough calibre of opponent that they face on Saturday, Korkut will be desperate for a positive result to ensure his new side do not head into the break in a worse position than the one that they already find themselves in.

Borussia Dortmund's Marco Reus celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 16, 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, Dortmund's 3-0 win over Greuther Furth on Wednesday appeared comfortable on paper considering the scoreline and the fact that their opponents are bottom of the table with just four points.

However, with their struggling visitors threatening on numerous occasions against a shaky BVB defence on the counter attack, the result was far from straightforward.

Erling Braut Haaland netted from the penalty spot just after the half-an-hour mark to open the scoring, but it would not be until the 82nd minute that the Norwegian striker would score again to kill off the game, before Donyell Malen added a third late on to continue his fine form in recent weeks.

With Bayern playing on Friday evening, Marco Rose could see the gap from the Bavarians to his side extended to nine points before they play on Saturday, which would pile the pressure on Dortmund to achieve a win in order to keep the champions within touching distance ahead of the run-in in the new year.

Fail to win, and if Bayern come out victorious, then the title race could arguably be over before Christmas already, so the visitors will require a top class performance to ensure that is not the case.

A much-improved performance on the road will be needed if the Black and Yellows are to claim all three points though, with 11 points already being dropped from the 21 on offer in their seven previous away matches this campaign, which included a last-gasp point being earned on their last away day at VfL Bochum last weekend.

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W



Team News

Borussia Dortmund coach Marco Rose reacts on October 16, 2021© Reuters

Hertha will have to do without Stevan Jovetic once more on Saturday, with the important forward facing a spell on the sidelines yet again following his withdrawal early on against Mainz in the week.

This season's top goalscorer with five goals, Jovetic is out until the new year with a calf injury in his latest injury absence, as well as Suat Serdar who also picked up an injury on Tuesday.

The duo join spare goalkeeper Rune Jarstein and the defensive trio of Peter Pekarik, Marton Dardai and Lukas Klunter on the list of absentees that will be unavailable for Korkut.

As for Dortmund, Jude Bellingham's fifth yellow card of the season means he will miss the trip to the capital as he serves a one-match suspension.

After only recently returning from injury in the last two fixtures, Thorgan Hazard picked up another on Wednesday, with the Belgian being ruled out with a hip injury until next month.

Roman Burki, Raphael Guerreiro, Mateu Morey, Marcel Schmelzer and Marius Wolf are all nearing returns, but are expected to miss out on Saturday, whilst Manuel Akanji, Youssoufa Moukoko and Giovanni Reyna are definitely unavailable.

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Zeefuik, Boyata, Stark, Plattenhardt; Ascacibar, Tousart; Darida, Richter; Piatek, Belfodil

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Meunier, Hummels, Zagadou, Schulz; Witsel, Can; Brandt, Reus, Malen; Haaland


SM words green background

We say: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Although Dortmund are still not playing at their best, the importance of heading into the break on the back of a win should prove enough to see them put in a display worthy of coming out victorious at the Olympiastadion on Saturday.

Their goalscoring touch is back following the return of Haaland in recent matches, and with Hertha's leaky defence continuing to shake, Dortmund will see an opportunity to outscore their opponents despite their questionable defence themselves.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Matthew Tranter

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Dortmund

Hertha Berlin
17.0%
Draw
4.5%
Borussia Dortmund
78.4%
88
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Koln179443223931
2Karlsruher SCKarlsruher178543431329
3Hamburger SV1777339231628
4Elversberg178453122928
5Magdeburg177733024628
6SC PaderbornSC Paderborn177732924528
7Hannover178362217527
8Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf177552823526
9KaiserslauternKaiserslautern177553027326
10SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt176653629724
11Nuremberg176473130122
12Hertha Berlin176472727022
13Schalke 04Schalke175573233-120
14Greuther Furth175572433-920
15Preussen Munster173771823-516
16SSV UlmUlm172871620-414
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig1734101636-2013
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