Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
5 - 0
Besiktas

Malen (29'), Reus (45+2' pen., 53'), Braut Haaland (68', 81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Montero (31'), Larin (39'), Souza (44')
Welinton (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Besiktas

Though their Champions League campaign has faltered - and defeat in Der Klassiker was another sucker punch at the weekend - Dortmund have scored freely this season and should prise open a flimsy Besiktas rearguard on several occasions. The Turkish champions' slump shows little sign of coming to an end too, so they will finish the group stage without a point - allowing them to return their thoughts to domestic concerns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Besiktas
58.67%	21.02%	20.31%

Both teams to score 58.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55%

38.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26%

60.74%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.14%

12.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.77%

39.23%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6%

32.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 58.67%

Besiktas 20.31%

Draw 21.02%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.77% 1-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.75% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 3.46% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.76% Total : 58.67%	1-1 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.02%	1-2 @ 5.43% 0-1 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 20.31%