Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.