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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Sule (18')
Coman (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muller (36' og.)
Bakker (32'), Demirbay (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 4-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With both of these sides so prolific in front of goal this season, and with many of their recent meetings producing a considerable amount of goals and entertainment, we are predicting another goal fest on Saturday. Both teams have also suffered from shaky defences in the lead up to their clean sheets last weekend, so both will look to capitalise in the final third, but ultimately, Bayern should possess too much for their visitors as they continue their charge to a 10th consecutive Bundesliga title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
72.04%15.32%12.64%
Both teams to score 62.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.48%25.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.4%45.6%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.75%6.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.44%23.56%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16%32.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59%69.41%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 72.04%
    Bayer Leverkusen 12.64%
    Draw 15.32%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-0 @ 7.3%
1-0 @ 5.69%
4-1 @ 5.64%
4-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 4.52%
4-2 @ 3.14%
5-1 @ 3.13%
5-0 @ 2.81%
5-2 @ 1.74%
6-1 @ 1.45%
6-0 @ 1.3%
4-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 72.04%
1-1 @ 6.33%
2-2 @ 4.89%
0-0 @ 2.05%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 15.32%
1-2 @ 3.53%
0-1 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.82%
1-3 @ 1.31%
0-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 12.64%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
83.8%
Draw
8.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
7.4%
68
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-5
Bayern
Schick (55')
Lewandowski (4', 30'), Muller (34'), Gnabry (35', 37')
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
Jun 6, 2020 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Bayern
Alario (10'), Wirtz (89')
Amiri (30'), Bellarabi (35'), Dragovic (74')
Coman (27'), Goretzka (42'), Gnabry (45'), Lewandowski (66')
Coman (8'), Lewandowski (32'), Muller (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg113351323-1012
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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