Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 5
B. Leverkusen

Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

The meetings between these two sides never seem to fail to deliver entertainment, with a remarkable tally of 40 goals being netted during the last eight encounters, and all the signs are pointing towards a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Both Dortmund and Leverkusen have been prolific in front of goal this season, whilst also leaving a leaky defence at the back as well, but we are predicting the hosts to just about edge a thriller thanks to their dominance over their opponents in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
57.86%	20.06%	22.07%

Both teams to score 65.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.24%

52.76%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.16%

10.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.08%

34.91%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01%

61.98%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 57.86%

Bayer Leverkusen 22.07%

Draw 20.06%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 6.99% 1-0 @ 6.43% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 4.61% 4-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.14% 4-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.25% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 2.9% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.06%	1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.07%