Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Dec 19, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

These two sides head into their clash on Sunday in similar runs of form, as well as similar positions in terms of quality displayed this season so far. For this reason, we are predicting a draw at the Europa-Park Stadion, in what is sure to be a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
35.64%	24.22%	40.14%

Both teams to score 60.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9%

42.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49%

64.5%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65%

57.34%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07%

53.92%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 35.64%

Bayer Leverkusen 40.14%

Draw 24.22%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.11% 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.64%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.14%