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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
42.44% | 24.39% | 33.17% |
Both teams to score 59.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.55% | 43.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.15% | 65.85% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% | 20.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% | 53.16% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% | 25.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% | 60.22% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |