Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.