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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
34.35% | 24.82% | 40.83% |
Both teams to score 58.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% | 45.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% | 67.49% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% | 25.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% | 60.37% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.93% | 22.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.58% | 55.43% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |