Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 49.8% | 23.95% | 26.26% |
| Both teams to score 56.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% | 45.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% | 67.58% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% | 18.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.73% | 49.27% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% | 31.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.68% | 67.32% |
| Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim 49.8%
Mainz 05 26.26%
Draw 23.94%
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.26% |
How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
66.7%Draw
11.1%Mainz 05
22.2%36
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 5pm
May 30, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Mainz
0-1
Hoffenheim
May 18, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Mainz
4-2
Hoffenheim
Form Guide
