Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 15, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	RB Leipzig
16.04%	21.93%	62.02%

Both teams to score 47.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.7%

49.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65%

71.35%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.36%

43.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.17%

79.82%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.64%

15.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.86%

44.14%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 16.04%

RB Leipzig 62.01%

Draw 21.93%

Mainz 05	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 5.56% 2-1 @ 4.32% 2-0 @ 2.31% 3-1 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.55% Total : 16.04%	1-1 @ 10.41% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.93%	0-1 @ 12.55% 0-2 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-4 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.15% Total : 62.01%