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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz 05
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
16.04%21.93%62.02%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.35%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36%43.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.17%79.82%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64%15.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86%44.14%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 16.04%
    RB Leipzig 62.01%
    Draw 21.93%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 5.56%
2-1 @ 4.32%
2-0 @ 2.31%
3-1 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.04%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 12.55%
0-2 @ 11.76%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-3 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 6.09%
0-4 @ 3.44%
1-4 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-5 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.18%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 62.01%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig

Mainz 05
15.7%
Draw
9.6%
RB Leipzig
74.7%
83
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
3-2
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (24', 35'), Barreiro (50')
Niakhate (40'), da Costa (75')
Adams (15'), Halstenberg (30')
Halstenberg (23'), Adams (70'), Orban (88'), Sorloth (90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
RB Leipzig
3-1
Mainz
Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')
Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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