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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
22.7% | 21.91% | 55.39% |
Both teams to score 59.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% | 39.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% | 30.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% | 67.08% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.81% | 14.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.1% | 41.9% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.92% 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.82% Total : 22.7% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.12% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |