Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.