Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 24, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Werder Bremen

Pohjanpalo (50', 53', 67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gebre Selassie (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
45.02%	25.55%	29.43%

Both teams to score 53.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9%

50.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93%

72.07%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78%

22.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36%

55.64%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84%

31.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5%

67.5%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 45.01%

Werder Bremen 29.43%

Draw 25.55%

Union Berlin	Draw	Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.43%