Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 1Mainz 05
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 53.25% | 22.33% | 24.42% |
| Both teams to score 60.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% | 39.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% | 61.87% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% | 14.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.72% | 43.27% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig 53.25%
Mainz 05 24.42%
Draw 22.33%
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.21% Total : 24.42% |
Head to Head
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
0-5
RB Leipzig
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
Pierre-Gabriel (84')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Form Guide
