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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Mainz logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Mainz 05

Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
53.25%22.33%24.42%
Both teams to score 60.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47%39.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13%61.87%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09%14.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72%43.27%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6%65.4%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 53.25%
    Mainz 05 24.42%
    Draw 22.33%
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.25%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 24.42%

Head to Head
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Poulsen (14', 19'), Werner (74', 88')
Upamecano (27'), Sabitzer (42'), Orban (51')
Onisiwo (38')
Latza (53'), Niakhate (54'), Zentner (66')
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
RB Leipzig
De Blasis (29' pen.), Maxim (85'), Baku (90')
Bell (38'), Maxim (89')

Poulsen (30'), Orban (40'), Keita (89')
Keita (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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