Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 051 - 3Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 21.92% | 22.58% | 55.49% |
| Both teams to score 55.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% | 43.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% | 65.89% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% | 33.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.59% | 70.4% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% | 15.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.53% | 44.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 21.92%
Borussia Dortmund 55.49%
Draw 22.58%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.22% Total : 21.92% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.85% 0-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 1.06% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.49% |
How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Dortmund
Mainz 05
7.9%Draw
9.5%Borussia Dortmund
82.5%63
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
0-2
Mainz
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-4
Dortmund
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Form Guide
