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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.72%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
10.26% | 15.02% | 74.72% |
Both teams to score 55.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.82% | 31.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.39% | 52.61% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.18% | 40.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.6% | 77.39% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.96% | 7.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.28% | 25.72% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.06% 1-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.21% 2-0 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.26% | 1-1 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.06% 0-0 @ 2.87% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.02% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-3 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 5.94% 1-4 @ 5.32% 2-3 @ 3.59% 0-5 @ 3.15% 1-5 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-6 @ 1.4% 2-5 @ 1.27% 1-6 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.8% Total : 74.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |