Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.