Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Lille |
31.39% | 27.95% | 40.65% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.33% | 58.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.79% | 79.21% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.81% | 34.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.12% | 70.88% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.97% | 64.03% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | NantesNantes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
14 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Lyon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 3 |
18 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |