Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 9, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 2
Lille

Kouyate (65'), Sarr (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yilmaz (60'), Celik (89')
Fonte (16'), Yilmaz (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lille
27.39%	28.41%	44.2%

Both teams to score 44.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.36%

61.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.53%

81.47%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06%

38.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.33%

75.66%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2%

27.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62%

63.38%

Score Analysis

Metz 27.38%

Lille 44.19%

Draw 28.4%

Metz	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.52% Total : 27.38%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 13.85% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-3 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.19%