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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Marseille

Lille
2 - 0
Marseille

David (90', 90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
46.03%28.03%25.93%
Both teams to score 44.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86%61.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9%81.09%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39%26.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16%61.84%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08%39.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42%76.57%
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.03%
    Marseille 25.93%
    Draw 28.03%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Marseille
4.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
Nov 2, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanson (47'), Gabriel (79' og.)
Amavi (83')
Soumaoro (83')
Djalo (23'), Ikone (33'), Osimhen (83')
Jan 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Balotelli (90')
Kamara (18'), Gustavo (45'), Strootman (45'), Radonjic (73'), Rolando (90')
Thauvin (67')
Pepe (45' pen., 90')
Soumaoro (50'), Leao (66'), Xeka (70')
Sep 30, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Lille
3-0
Marseille
Pepe (65' pen.), Bamba (86' pen., 89')
Xeka (18')

Ocampos (17'), Mandanda (63'), Gustavo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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