Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nice had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nice |
56.42% | 23.54% | 20.04% |
Both teams to score 50.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% | 49.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% | 71.87% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% | 17.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% | 47.98% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% | 39.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% | 75.96% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |