Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 1
Metz

Wissa (31' pen.), Hergault (74')
Grbic (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Traore (72')
Kouyate (23'), Bronn (30'), Ambrose (65'), Centonze (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Metz
42.62%	27.25%	30.14%

Both teams to score 48.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.52%

56.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53%

77.48%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79%

26.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69%

61.31%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04%

33.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37%

70.64%

Score Analysis

Lorient 42.61%

Metz 30.14%

Draw 27.25%

Lorient	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.61%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.14%