Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.