Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
42.25% | 25.22% | 32.53% |
Both teams to score 56.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% | 47.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.36% | 69.63% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% | 22.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% | 55.88% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% | 27.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% | 63.28% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |