Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Chateaubriant Voltigeurs had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.64%) and 0-3 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Chateaubriant Voltigeurs win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.