Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
