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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
Hoffenheim logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Hoffenheim

Adams (15' og.), Kalajdzic (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sessegnon (11'), Grillitsch (58')

Preview: Stuttgart vs. Hoffenheim - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stuttgart take on Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Sunday, with both sides heading into the match on impressive four-match unbeaten runs.

The visitors can move level on points with their forthcoming opponents with a victory, although it would take a five-goal swing to move ahead of them in the table due to having an inferior goal difference.


Match preview

Silas Wamangituka in action for Stuttgart on January 2, 2021© Reuters

Stuttgart continue to perform above expectations in their first season back in the Bundesliga, remaining in the top half of the table after last weekend's 1-1 draw at Eintracht Frankfurt.

Andre Silva spurned a golden opportunity for Frankfurt early in the encounter, nonchalantly attempting to backheel past Gregor Kobel after being played through on goal by Filip Kostic.

Sasa Kalajdzic scored for the sixth consecutive match against the run of play, with his effort deflecting off Martin Hinteregger and past a helpless Kevin Trapp, before Kostic's fine strike across goal salvaged a point for the hosts.

In truth, Stuttgart were a little fortunate to gain anything from the game, with Kalajdzic's strike their only shot on target across the 90 minutes. Pellegrino Matarazzo may still have half an eye on securing an unlikely Europa League qualification place, though, with a win against Hoffenheim on Sunday potentially taking them to seventh in the table.

Hoffenheim coach Sebastian Hoeness pictured on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Hoffenheim, meanwhile, appear to have come out of the other side from their extremely difficult period, which at one point looked like it could pull them into an unlikely relegation battle, having also been dumped out of the Europa League by Molde.

Indeed, Sebastian Hoeness's side secured an impressive 2-1 win against Wolfsburg last weekend, ending the Wolves' unbeaten run of nine matches.

Oliver Glasner's side had not even conceded a league goal for 666 minutes prior to their trip to Hoffenheim, but Christoph Baumgartner ended that in emphatic fashion with his powerful effort clattering in off the underside of the bar.

Wout Weghorst raced in behind Hoffenheim's trademark high line to level the proceedings with a calm finish, with the Dutchman missing an excellent opportunity to provide his side the lead, before Andrej Kramaric obliged with a simple finish at the back post four minutes prior to the half-time interval which ultimately proved enough to claim a crucial victory.

Hoeness will now have his sights set on securing a fifth successive top-half finish for the club, with the fitness and form of Kramaric likely to be crucial in terms of achieving that.

Stuttgart Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Stuttgart form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Hoffenheim Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Hoffenheim form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W


Team News

Nicolas Gonzalez in action for Stuttgart on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Stuttgart are likely to remain without Nicolas Gonzalez with a hamstring injury, while Lilian Egloff and Clinton Mola continue to be sidelined.

Konstantinos Mavropanos was substituted during the draw at Frankfurt with a calf problem, but the former Arsenal defender should shake it off to feature, while captain Gonzalo Castro should also start.

Hoffenheim, meanwhile, continue to have a whole host of absentees, with Philipp Pentke, Kevin Vogt, Kostas Stafylidis, Mijat Gacinovic, Stefan Posch, Havard Nordtveit, Kevin Akpoguma, Dennis Geiger, Ermin Bicakcic and Benjamin Hubner all unlikely to make the trip to Stuttgart.

As such, Florian Grillitsch may continue to deputise in the heart of Hoeness's defensive line, with Kramaric and Ihlas Bebou carrying the offensive threat.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Mavropanos, Anton, Kempf; Wamangituka, Endo, Mangala, Sosa; Castro, Coulibaly; Kalajdzic

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Kasim, Grillitsch, Richards; Kaderabek, Rudy, Samassekou, John; Baumgartner; Bebou, Kramaric


SM words green background

We say: Stuttgart 2-2 Hoffenheim

We can envisage an entertaining score draw on Sunday, with both of these sides capable of producing lightning attacks.

Indeed, both sides are scoring and conceding more than 1.5 goals per game this season, so it would be a huge surprise if either goalkeeper had a quiet afternoon.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim

Stuttgart
53.6%
Draw
32.1%
Hoffenheim
14.3%
56
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2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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