Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.